NORTH CASCADE GLACIER CLIMATE PROJECT

2008 Field Season -Our 25th Field Season

Director: Mauri S. Pelto
Nichols College, Dudley, MA 01571
peltoms@nichols.edu

Field Scientist:Tom Hammond: tphammond@gmail.com

Field Assistants:
Brad Markle
Pomona College

Ben Pelto
West Boylston, MA

Glacier Home Page

The field season is still three months away.  Based on the forecasting method for glacier mass balance, we predict that mass balance will be positive this year, due to the negative values of PDO and ENSO.  The winter season began early with snow in early October.  After this relatively warm, dry weather kept the snowpack below normal up until Dec. 15.   The PDO and La Nina are both negative.  The chart at left indicates April1 SWE versus an inverted average of PDO and ENSO.  When both are negative it is evident that snowpack tends to be quite high note the previous examples of this 2000, 1999, 1989, 1976, 1974, 1971 and 1956.  All except 1989 had quite high snowpack.  From Dec. 15-Feb 15 snowpack rose to above normal levels, particularly at elevations below 1000 meters.

Levels or precipitation have not been unusual since Feb.15 however, temperatures have remained below normal right through April 20.  It is predicted by NOAA/NWS that this trend of cooler conditions will persist through May.

Youtube slideshow of 2006-2007 field seasons.



 
 

 

   
A comparison of of the % of normal snowpack at all 50 Cascade mountains snotel sites with long term average snowpack data for 1/15/2008 versus elevation.  You can see that at 6000 feet and above snowpack is near normal and that toward 3000 feet the average is closer to 200% of normal, and if we went lower than this elevation, where we do not have snotel the average would keep rising.  You can see the power function fits the curve best.